Risk is summarized by one flattering metric
Typical symptoms
- Only one performance or risk statistic is shown
- Drawdown path is missing
- Bad scenarios are explained away without evidence
Likely causes
- The review selected the metric that made the result look best
- Path-dependent losses were not inspected
- Stress cases were skipped
Checks
- Inspect drawdown, volatility, tail loss, and time under water
- Compare against a benchmark
- Review worst-month and worst-period behavior
Resolution path
- Use a balanced scorecard
- Add drawdown and stress sections to every report
- Make the decision label reflect downside evidence
Related terms: drawdown, tail risk, time under water, stress test
